Central against decentralized
Where should data live: with a few large hosts, or with the people and groups it belongs to?
- issue
- topology
also governance - status
- open
- steps
- 12, 1964–2026
- threads
- all problem threads
Baran showed in 1964 that distributed networks survive damage that kills centralized ones, and the Web was designed so that no central authority had to approve a page or a link. By 2010 its inventor was warning that large social sites had walled their users' data back off. Since then Solid, ActivityPub, local-first software and AT Protocol have each tried to move data and identity back to users, and they disagree on how.
Lineage
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Aug 1964
On Distributed Communications: Introduction to Distributed Communications Networks
Compares centralized, decentralized and distributed networks, and shows that a distributed network survives attacks on its nodes and links far better than a centralized one. [src1][src2]
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Mar 1989
Information Management: A Proposal
The proposal that became the Web requires that existing systems can be linked together 'without requiring any central control or coordination'. [src]
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1991
Pretty Good Privacy
Encryption without a central certificate authority: users vouch for each other's keys, a model its 1992 manual named the web of trust. [src1][src2]
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Dec 2010
Long Live the Web
Berners-Lee calls decentralization a design feature of the Web, since no central authority approves a page or a link, and warns that large social-networking sites are walling their users' information off from the rest of the Web: 'each site is a silo'. [src]
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14 Jul 2014
IPFS – Content Addressed, Versioned, P2P File System
A peer-to-peer file system that names data by the hash of its content, so any peer holding a copy can serve it, rather than one host at one address. [src]
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11 Feb 2015
Locking the Web Open: A Call for a Decentralized Web
Kahle warns that the Web is fragile and lets readers be tracked and censored, and calls for a peer-to-peer Web with no central host: 'we need to lock the Web open'. The talk led to the Decentralized Web Summits and the DWeb community. [src1][src2]
- c. 2015
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23 Jan 2018
ActivityPub
A W3C Recommendation for federated social networking: independent servers exchange Activity Streams messages, so people on different servers can follow and reply to one another. Mastodon is built on it. [src]
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Apr 2019
Local-first software: You own your data, in spite of the cloud
Seven ideals for software that keeps the primary copy of data on the user's own devices while still allowing real-time collaboration. [src]
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Feb 2021
DWeb Principles
The DWeb community answers with values rather than a protocol: technology for human agency, distributed benefits, mutual respect, humanity and ecological awareness, since technology alone will not decentralize the Web without aligned laws, business models and values. [src1][src2]
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5 Feb 2024
Bluesky and the AT Protocol: Usable Decentralized Social Media↳ critiques ActivityPub
Argues that in federation as Mastodon practises it, a user's name and social graph are tied to one server and each server sees only part of the network. AT Protocol lets users move between hosting providers and separates moderation from hosting. [src]
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31 Mar 2026
Linked Web Storage Protocol
The W3C drafts a standard protocol giving applications secure, permissioned access to data stored outside them, in an interoperable way. [src]
Recent signals
Dated events that show the problem moving, newest last.
- 1 Nov 2025
- 15 Jan 2026
W3C charters a new Social Web Working Group to maintain ActivityPub and Activity Streams. ActivityPub[src]
- Mar 2026
The IETF approves an Authenticated Transfer (ATP) Working Group, giving AT Protocol a standards home outside Bluesky; work on an independent organization for its identity directory continues. AT Protocol[src1][src2]
- 31 Mar 2026
First public working draft of the Linked Web Storage protocol, the standard behind Solid. Linked Web Storage Protocol[src]
- 28 Apr 2026
The European Commission's first review of the Digital Markets Act declines to extend its interoperability duty from messaging to social networks.[src]
- Jun 2026
Bluesky's mobile app has 10.4 million monthly active users, down 27% on a year earlier, against about 46 million registered accounts. Bluesky[src]
- 12 Jun 2026
NLnet pauses new NGI Zero calls while it moves to a new Open Internet Stack programme.[src]
Open now
Under each question, the answers people have put forward or built. The catalogue gives no odds on them.
- Can a decentralized network give everyone a view of the whole of it without someone paying for costly central indexes?
[src]
AT Protocol provides a global view through indexing infrastructure its designers call fairly expensive; ActivityPub avoids a whole-network index but shows each server only the replies it knows about.
- A few operators run the costly indexes, and everyone else relies on them. AT Protocol
AT Protocol's design: anyone may run a relay or an index, but doing so for the whole network takes significant resources.[src]
- No one sees the whole network; each server sees the part it is connected to. ActivityPub
ActivityPub's design: a server knows only the posts and replies that reach it.[src]
- Users end up trusting a handful of providers, and the network recentralizes.
Marlinspike's reading of web3: even with decentralized protocols, nearly all clients trusted the outputs of two companies.[src]
- A few operators run the costly indexes, and everyone else relies on them. AT Protocol
- Can people move their identity and data to another provider without losing their social graph?
[src1][src2]
On Mastodon the server name is part of the username, so moving changes it; AT Protocol and Solid each separate identity and data from the host in different ways.
- Identity lives in a directory that no single host controls. AT Protocol
- Data lives in a personal store, and applications come and go. Linked Web Storage Protocol
- Who moderates a network that has no centre?
[src]
Mastodon gives server administrators the power to block other servers; AT Protocol makes moderation a separate, open role.
- Each server's administrators decide, including blocking whole servers. ActivityPub
The model of Mastodon and much of the fediverse.[src]
- Moderation becomes a separate service that users choose and stack. Bluesky
Bluesky opened its moderation tool and let anyone run a labelling service in March 2024; users subscribe to labellers as they follow accounts.[src]
- Each server's administrators decide, including blocking whole servers. ActivityPub
Forces
Pressures that push this problem one way or another, as their sources argue them. All forces
- Running infrastructure costs money and effort
Pulls toward a few large hosts. AT Protocol's designers call the indexing that gives a whole-network view fairly expensive, and Marlinspike observes that users of decentralized systems end up trusting a handful of providers.[src1][src2]
- Laws that require portability and interoperability
Pushes toward portability where it applies. Its reach is set in periodic reviews, and social networks are outside it for now.[src1][src2]
- Distrust of platform owners
Brings users to decentralized services in waves; whether they stay is part of the open question. Bluesky's mobile app had 10.4 million monthly users in June 2026, down 27% on a year earlier.[src]
- Protocols change slowly, platforms quickly
Gives central platforms the edge in features and speed. Standards groups such as the W3C Social Web Working Group and the IETF ATP Working Group are where decentralized protocols get changed.[src1][src2][src3]
- Public money for open internet software
Pays for decentralized software that no company funds, including a hosting stack for the fediverse (NGI Fediversity).[src]
Decision points
Dated moments when a decision or a deadline can change the outcome.
- 3 Nov 2026
NLnet funding deadline funding
Next deadline for grant proposals to NLnet's open funds (Restack and CodeSupply) for open internet software.[src]
- 8 Jan 2027
Linked Web Storage charter ends charter
The W3C working group behind the Solid protocol is chartered until this date; W3C members decide whether to extend or recharter it.[src]
- Jan 2028
Social Web Working Group charter ends charter
The group maintaining ActivityPub is chartered until January 2028.[src]
- May 2029
Next Digital Markets Act review review
The Act requires a review every three years after May 2026; the first declined to cover social networks, and consumer groups say the door remains open.[src]
How to contribute
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W3C Social Web Working Group
group
· World Wide Web Consortium
Maintains ActivityPub, Activity Streams, Webmention and related specifications. Chartered until January 2028. [src1][src2]
checked 21 Oct 2026 -
W3C Linked Web Storage Working Group
group
· World Wide Web Consortium
Standardizes the storage protocol behind Solid, so that storage, login, access control and applications can come from different providers. [src1][src2]
checked 21 Oct 2026 -
IETF Authenticated Transfer (ATP) Working Group
group
Standardizes AT Protocol's repository and sync protocol under neutral governance. Discussion happens on the [email protected] list. [src1][src2]
checked 21 Oct 2026